Stop guessing. Start knowing. Turn uncertainty into opportunity with risk analysis.
Relying on best-guesses and gut feelings is a liability. You can’t forecast financial returns, engineer infrastructure or evaluate pharmaceutical R&D with averages and best-guesses.
@RISK runs Monte Carlo simulations inside Excel. Replace uncertain values with probability distributions, and @Risk calculates thousands of scenarios in seconds. You see the probability of every possible outcome, not just one optimistic projection.
As a certified Lumivero partner Alfasoft brings this technology to the Nordic and European markets.
@RISK integrates directly into the Excel ribbon. You define correlations, fit historical data and visualize risks without learning a new interface or rewriting your models. @Risk respects how your spreadsheets already work.
Tiedot
What is @Risk?
Monte Carlo Simulation in Practice
@RISK (pronounced “at risk”) is an add-in tool for Microsoft Excel that helps you make better decisions through risk modelling, simulation and analysis. It does this using a technique known as Monte Carlo simulation.
@RISK tests thousands of scenarios by replacing fixed values in your Excel model with probability distributions. If you’re estimating project costs, you might use a normal distribution for labor hours, a lognormal distribution for material costs, and a triangular distribution for contingency reserves. The software samples from these distributions, recalculates your model, records the result, and repeats this process until you have enough data to analyse.
Model risks and uncover new opportunities with @Risk
From the financial sector, where investments and portfolios are analyzed for risk, to scientific fields, such as engineering and health sciences, where the risk of certain outcomes or events is evaluated, @RISK provides a robust toolset to help professionals make informed decisions. @RISK helps both Fortune 500 companies and private consultancies paint a realistic picture of possible scenarios. This allows businesses to not only buffer and mitigate risks but also identify and exploit growth opportunities.
Key features in @Risk
Monte Carlo simulation
@RISK calculates thousands of possible future outcomes and the chances they will occur. This helps you avoid likely hazards and uncover hidden opportunities.
100% Excel integration
@RISK integrates seamlessly with Excel’s function set and ribbon, letting you work in a familiar environment with results you can trust.
Sensitivity analysis
@RISK identifies and ranks the most important factors driving your risks so that you can plan strategies and resources accordingly.
Graphs and reports
@RISK offers various customizable graphing and reporting options that let you communicate risk to all stakeholders.
Extensive modelling features
With a broad library of probability distributions, data fitting tools and correlation modelling, @RISK lets you represent any scenario in any industry with the highest level of accuracy.
Integration with Predict!
@RISK now connects with the enterprise risk management platform Predict! This means quantitative simulation results from Excel can flow directly into your organization’s risk register. The connection matters if your company requires formal risk governance processes where technical analysis needs to inform corporate strategy and compliance reporting.
Uutta
Recent Updates:
What’s new in @RISK 8?
A new generation in Risk Analysis
@RISK 8 is a major upgrade representing the culmination of feedback from thousands of users. We focused on what is most important to you based on the analyses you do every day. Furthermore, @RISK 8 has been rebuilt on the latest programming technology from the ground up. This forward-looking foundation ensures that @RISK will continue to provide the most reliable, accurate, and robust quantitative risk analysis available anywhere for years to come.
But make no mistake: while @RISK 8 is better, faster, and stronger than ever, it is still as easy to use as 1-2-3.
Fresh new look, Streamlined workflows
As a result of user input, the interface is now more intuitive for both new and experienced practitioners alike, reducing learning curves and the time it takes to perform analyses. @RISK 8 offers a thoroughly modern look and feel throughout the entire application, from the all-new command Ribbon to every dialogue window. What’s more, @RISK 8 is available in both English and Spanish.
Faster performance
From defining input distributions to correlating variables to identifying output cells, every aspect of model management has been re-engineered for fewer lags and overall more responsive performance. Likewise, from analysis of simulation data to the generation or reports to share with others, everything to do with results analysis has been significantly sped up. In addition, you have greater control than ever, with more progress bars and ways to cancel long operations.
Easier modelling
The Define Distribution window, the first step in any @RISK analysis, has been overhauled to simplify anything you may need to do when creating or editing @RISK distribution functions. Correlations are much faster to define, and the performance of time series fitting has been significantly enhanced. Plus, the entire Model Window is more flexible and simpler than ever.
From Summary Trend to 2-Way Tornado charts, @RISK 8 offers significantly improved graphing capabilities, as well as an entirely new feature set for generating custom reports to share with colleagues. The best part is, it does all this 10 times faster than before! A new Explore menu offers all results graphs and reports in one place. And the Browse, Summary, and other windows have been overhauled for faster workflows.
Get started fast with @Risk
@RISK 8 ships with an all-new tutorial in the form of step-by-step example spreadsheets that are designed with ease-of-use and sequential learning in mind. Each example builds on the one before, and all interactively allow you to step through them with point-and-click ease. The new example library has been rewritten by professional consultants to help decision makers get results fast, out of the box.
Solid analytics and tight Excel integration
Of course, another key reason Fortune 1000 companies rely upon @RISK every day has long been the power of its rock-solid analytics. Version 8 takes that up a level, too, with substantial enhancements to sophisticated analytical features. In addition, @RISK 8 supports the very latest advances in Excel 2019 (such as dynamic arrays) to make your analyses even more cohesive.
Ready for the future
While @RISK 8 is a substantial upgrade in its own right, it also represents the birth of a new platform which will launch an entire generation of risk analysis advances. The new @RISK is technologically poised to take advantage of future improvements in the field of probabilistic analysis and Excel itself. Put simply, this ensures you can trust that @RISK will provide the best possible insights, whatever the future brings.
Tekniset vaatimukset
@Risk System Requirements
Operating Systems for @Risk
@RISK requires Windows 7 (SP1 or later), Windows 8, Windows 10 or Windows 11.
While there is no support for running on the native Macintosh OS, @RISK will run on a Windows environment hosted on the Mac. The following configurations are supported:
Microsoft Excel
An installed copy of Microsoft Excel 2010, 2013, 2016 or 2019 for Windows or Office 365 for Windows is required. Palisade add-ins will not run with earlier versions of Microsoft Excel.
@Risk is compatible with the “On Premises” deployment option of Office 365. It is not compatible with the “Office on Demand” or “Office Web Apps” deployment options.
Visual C++ Runtime Files
Palisade add-ins require the Microsoft Visual C++ “Universal” Runtime. On a 64-bit machine, both the 64-bit and 32-bit versions of this library are required. On a 32-bit machine, only the 32-bit version of this library is required. These will be installed automatically as part of the DTS installation if they are not found on the system.
Microsoft .NET Framework 4.6.1
Palisade software requires Microsoft .NET Framework 4.6.1. In Windows 7, the DecisionTools Suite installer will automatically install this component. In Windows 8 and Windows 10, the .NET Framework 4.0 is already installed as part of Windows. The .NET framework will be installed automatically as part of the DecisionTools Suite installation if it is not found on the system.
Lisensointi
License options for @Risk
Single-user subscriptions available in 1, 2, or 3-year terms. Includes maintenance, technical support and version updates.
Concurrent network licenses for teams. Install on unlimited machines, but usage is limited to a set number of simultaneous users.
Academic licensing with special pricing for universities, including campus-wide site licenses and student course packs. Contact Alfasoft sales for pricing tailored to your organization’s needs.
@Risk Editions
Features: Professional and Industrial Editions
Features: Industrial Edition only
Tuki
Esittelymateriaalit
Suosittelemme näitä verkkotukisivuja ja -resursseja, jotta saat tuotteestasi parhaan hyödyn irti.
Tuki
Tarjoamme teknistä tukea kaikille Alfasoftin asiakkaille. Suosittelemme tutustumaan tukikeskukseemme ja tietopankkiimme, joista löydät hyödyllisiä resursseja, kuten ratkaisuja yleisiin ongelmiin sekä runsaasti lisätietoa.
Jos et löydä vastausta, lähetä tukipyyntö Ohjekeskuksessa ja tietokannassa. Kun luot tukipyynnön, anna mahdollisimman tarkat tiedot. Tämä auttaa meitä ymmärtämään ongelmaa paremmin ja tarjoamaan tarkemman ratkaisun. Muista aina ilmoittaa tuotteen versio ja käyttöjärjestelmä.